October Theory: Gen-Z Discovers Quarterly Planning (and the Olds can learn a thing or two)
Is October the new January? Gen Z thinks so, and they might be onto something. In this Thinkydoers Short, I dive into the viral TikTok trend of "October Theory" and explore how it intersects with established business practices like quarterly planning and OKRs (Objectives and Key Results). Whether you're a seasoned professional or just starting your career journey, this episode offers fresh insights on goal-setting and achievement.
Episode Highlights:
- Introduction to "October Theory" and its viral spread on TikTok
- How October Theory aligns with business quarterly planning practices
- What us Olds can learn from the youth on the importance of end-of-Q3 retrospectives and learning reviews
- Introduction to Key Results for Gen Z goal-setters
- The benefits of outcome-based goals over activity-based goals
Key Questions:
- What is October Theory?
- How does October Theory relate to business planning cycles?
- What are Key Results in the context of OKRs?
- Why are outcome-based goals more effective than activity-based goals?
Notable Quotes:
"Let's listen to the next generation on this one and prioritize the end of Q3 reset."
"Key results are a different kind of goal... We're going to think about what would be really incredible to achieve in terms of impacts or quantifiable outcomes of our effort."
"Instead of the risk of the all or nothing bad feelings that we get when we set just activity based goals, when we create key results, that's what we're pursuing... We get instantly curious, even if you're not having any progress."
Episode Chapters:
00:00 Introduction to Thinkydoer Shorts
01:15 Discovering October Theory
02:07 Understanding October Theory and Its Impact
03:43 The Power of Key Results for Gen Z
04:06 Implementing OKRs in Business
06:21 Creating Effective Key Results
09:02 The Benefits of Key Results Over Activity Goals
12:57 Conclusion and Join the Pre-Launch List for You Are A Strategist
Links and Resources:
- Pre-launch list for "You Are a Strategist": youareastrategist.com
- Sara's website: saralobkovich.com
- Shortcut to Sara's website: findrc.co
Mentioned in this episode:
Join the Strategic Clarity Workshop Waitlist for Early Bird Access
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Transcript
Welcome to Thinkydoer Shorts, where we embrace anti-perfection
Speaker:and dive straight into the messy middle of strategy, leadership,
Speaker:and personal and career growth.
Speaker:I'm your host, Sara Lobkovich, creator of No-BS Objectives and Key Results,
Speaker:host of the Thinkydoers podcast,
Speaker:and I'm a strategy coach, big time goal nerd, and board certified
Speaker:health and wellness coach with a focus on work life well-being.
Speaker:And in the next few minutes, we'll explore a current topic or insight to
Speaker:spark your curiosity and provide you a pragmatic starting place to take action.
Speaker:Let's dive in.
Speaker:Hey friends, I thought I would experiment with a new format because we keep
Speaker:getting really bogged down in edit.
Speaker:So I've been completely loving our interview shows that we're putting
Speaker:together and there's so much work that I haven't been doing my solo shows.
Speaker:But this weekend something came up that I couldn't really wait
Speaker:to put an episode together for.
Speaker:So this is an experiment in doing a quick off the cuff episode on a
Speaker:culturally relevant topic in I don't know, 15 or so minutes or less.
Speaker:So I'm literally setting a timer so I can see it, so I don't go on too long.
Speaker:On Friday night I was up late and, you know, on the phone, which is not good
Speaker:for sleep hygiene, But it had been a while since I looked at calls for story
Speaker:support on Quoted, which is a source that I use to find media appearances
Speaker:and to look for journalists who cover topics that I am a specialist in.
Speaker:And there were a couple of calls for sources on something
Speaker:called October Theory.
Speaker:And
Speaker:when I saw TikTok October Theory goal setting, I had to know more.
Speaker:so I caught up really quickly with a couple of news articles.
Speaker:Of course, I got on TikTok to go straight to the source and I
Speaker:completely missed the debut of this topic because I've been so head down
Speaker:working on my books and everything else
Speaker:that I'm a little late to the party.
Speaker:at this point, there's something like 36 million posts about
Speaker:October Theory on TikTok alone.
Speaker:So first, what is October Theory?
Speaker:October Theory is the idea that October is a great time to do your
Speaker:assessment of where you are, think retrospective, and take stock and
Speaker:decide what you want to set your goals around in advance of the new year.
Speaker:So some influencers talk about it like it's a mini January.
Speaker:Like a mini set of New Year's resolutions.
Speaker:And some of the youths have this idea because we're going into
Speaker:what they call cuffing season.
Speaker:So people are taking stock of their relationship status and wanting
Speaker:to make changes before we get into the hunker down for winter.
Speaker:There's also an astrological element, Which I find fascinating
Speaker:as a Libra Sun sign, but I'll leave that to the TikTok experts.
Speaker:We're going to talk about goal setting.
Speaker:So while I was reading up and watching some of the TikToks on the topic, I
Speaker:felt like I was watching Gen Z discover quarterly planning for the first time.
Speaker:Which I'm not throwing shade, I think that's really exciting.
Speaker:So much of Gen Z, if my stepkids and their friends are any indication,
Speaker:are so mobilized for change naturally that the thought of them starting with
Speaker:quarterly goal setting personally or professionally early on just makes
Speaker:me think they could take over the world even faster, in a good way.
Speaker:So this is a quick two-fer short.
Speaker:I'm going to be talking to my business listeners about what the youths are
Speaker:getting right about October Theory.
Speaker:And then I also want to introduce Gen Z to the concept of a key result, because
Speaker:it's going to help you make change even faster than you're naturally wired for.
Speaker:And yes, I'm talking about objectives and key results or OKRs, But these are
Speaker:not your parents or grandparents OKRs.
Speaker:So for my business listeners, many organizations plan on an annual
Speaker:cycle starting the year in January.
Speaker:A lot of my clients begin their annual planning in, November, or
Speaker:sometimes even as late as December.
Speaker:The other phenomenon I tend to observe in my business clients is we start out the
Speaker:year really strong with our focus on OKRs.
Speaker:We might do a solid Q2 reset
Speaker:at the end of Q1, because we've learned a lot about how we might
Speaker:improve our OKRs for the year.
Speaker:And then a lot of organizations do that big mid year.
Speaker:So they take stock at mid year, see what they've learned.
Speaker:And see what to let go of, and then create their OKRs for Q3.
Speaker:But what tends to happen with that quarterly cycle is the Q3 reset
Speaker:kind of gets eaten by the strategic planning that's about to start.
Speaker:So there's this overlapping of our working toward our current year, year
Speaker:end goals, and planning for next year.
Speaker:And that overlap can mean that the goal setting and goal pursuit toward the
Speaker:end of the year can get pretty muddled.
Speaker:I love the idea of this October theory, that October is a great time for a
Speaker:retrospective to look back on what we've learned this year, where we are in our
Speaker:current state, and then say, where do we want to be when we wake up on January 1st?
Speaker:that's no different from doing an OKR reset at the end of Q3.
Speaker:I just find a lot of organizations just kind of stop with their
Speaker:OKR rhythm at the end of Q3.
Speaker:I saw clients even in the last couple weeks, some of them, their quarterly
Speaker:reviews are on my calendar, and I saw cancellations of the quarterly
Speaker:review because people are so busy trying to get ready for budget
Speaker:season and strategic planning.
Speaker:So let's listen to the next generation on this one and
Speaker:prioritize the end of Q3 reset.
Speaker:Because the sand in the hourglass is really running out on 2024, and you most
Speaker:likely have some really important progress to be made on your goals before year end,
Speaker:even while we're planning for next year.
Speaker:All right, now I want to introduce our Gen Z folks who are excited about October
Speaker:theory to the concept of a key result, and key results come from a collaborative
Speaker:goal setting model and practice called Objectives and Key Results or OKRs.
Speaker:OKRs have been used in big companies and by startups for a long, long time.
Speaker:But I can completely understand how younger people entering the workforce
Speaker:or earlier in their career might encounter OKRs in the workplace and
Speaker:think, Oh my gosh, this is not for me.
Speaker:Like the, the way that OKRs get implemented doesn't always make
Speaker:a great sales pitch for them.
Speaker:The experiences people have with them aren't always strong.
Speaker:So, Gen Zers, if you haven't yet encountered OKRs, let's start you
Speaker:off right, and Gen Zers who have had a bad experience with OKRs in the
Speaker:workplace, let's do a reboot here.
Speaker:The approach to OKRs that I work with, I call the No BS OKR model.
Speaker:We create goals very quickly.
Speaker:Based exactly on what you're doing with October Theory, based on taking
Speaker:stock of where we are and where we want to be, and then creating
Speaker:objectives and key results accordingly.
Speaker:Today, I'm going to focus on key results and encourage you to experiment
Speaker:with creating your key results as part of your October Theory planning.
Speaker:When people are setting goals, their natural tendency a lot of times is to
Speaker:create goals around what they plan to do.
Speaker:So if you have goals today, you might look at that list and let's inventory
Speaker:how many of them are you deciding to do something or to complete an activity
Speaker:or even a quantified activity to do an activity a certain number of times.
Speaker:It's probably a fair number of them.
Speaker:So key results are a different kind of goal.
Speaker:And the structure that I use for a textbook key result is increase,
Speaker:decrease, improve, reduce, some kind of directional verb.
Speaker:A metric by a percentage or point change from start value to finish value.
Speaker:Now, what's the difference between creating goals around
Speaker:activity and creating goals around empirically measurable outcomes?
Speaker:For one, you're probably signing yourself up for way too many activity
Speaker:goals than you can actually achieve.
Speaker:It's really common.
Speaker:For two, you might complete all those activities that you planned and check
Speaker:off all those boxes and still not actually achieve whatever outcome
Speaker:or result you really aspire to.
Speaker:OKRs define for us how we're going to actually quantify success and progress.
Speaker:And it sounds counterintuitive, but setting empirically measurable key results
Speaker:around what we hope to achieve in terms of progress and success can actually
Speaker:be super motivating compared to just setting goals around our activities.
Speaker:If we create goals around our activities, and we don't keep up with
Speaker:that plan, then we feel bad about not being able to check off those boxes.
Speaker:It also causes problems for our tendency toward all or nothing thinking.
Speaker:So if we miss one activity, and that interrupts our habit around the
Speaker:activity we're trying to complete.
Speaker:Then there's a risk that you're just going to backslide and feel bad and stop
Speaker:doing what you committed yourself to do.
Speaker:Where when we create key results, we think about those differently.
Speaker:So when we create key results, we're going to think about what would be really
Speaker:incredible to achieve in terms of impacts or quantifiable outcomes of our effort.
Speaker:And we're going to think about that in a stretch way because what
Speaker:you're doing there is thinking about a future that doesn't exist yet.
Speaker:So there's no way to accurately forecast what the result is
Speaker:going to be with certainty.
Speaker:We recognize we're going into the unknown.
Speaker:We're trying to change something.
Speaker:It's not a sure thing that you're going to achieve it, although you're going to
Speaker:try your best to, but just setting that measurable goal gives you something to
Speaker:work toward and then lean in to curiosity and learning about your progress.
Speaker:So instead of the risk of the all or nothing bad feelings that we get when
Speaker:we set just activity based goals, when we create key results, that's
Speaker:what we're If we're pursuing a key result, and even if we're not making
Speaker:progress, then the reaction we have isn't, there's something wrong with
Speaker:me that I'm not achieving my goal.
Speaker:I'm doing something wrong that I'm not achieving my goal.
Speaker:Instead, when we're working with key results, We get instantly curious,
Speaker:even if you're not having any progress.
Speaker:The question you can ask yourself is what's going on that I'm not making
Speaker:progress on this goal, get curious.
Speaker:And then that gives you flexibility to adapt your activity plan.
Speaker:So you can take stock, see what you might want to change in what you're
Speaker:doing that will be designed To advance your achievement of your key result
Speaker:with nimbleness and flexibility about the situation that you're operating in,
Speaker:which frankly changes from day to day.
Speaker:So those activity goals you're used to setting, you set at a certain time,
Speaker:that's your best guess at what needs to be done, and then you work toward
Speaker:them, but you're in a changing world and the circumstances and situation
Speaker:and you yourself are changing.
Speaker:it's really common for those activity based goals to get stale or to become no
Speaker:longer relevant before they're achieved.
Speaker:Because with key results, we're asking and answering the question,
Speaker:what would be really incredible to achieve if everything goes right?
Speaker:It lets you envision a future that doesn't exist yet, the
Speaker:future that you want to create.
Speaker:It enables you to work toward that future with clarity about
Speaker:what you're trying to achieve.
Speaker:And it lets you lean into curiosity, whether you are achieving
Speaker:progress on your key result.
Speaker:Whether you are not or whether it's not moving, no matter what's happening with
Speaker:that key result, you can check in with yourself, ask the question, what's going
Speaker:on that this isn't going well, or what's going on that this is going so well?
Speaker:Can I leverage that to accelerate my progress or to take what I've
Speaker:learned to improve my performance in some other area of my work or life?
Speaker:All right, so that's it.
Speaker:I'm going to wrap up for today.
Speaker:If you're curious about anything you've heard here, I would love to have you
Speaker:check out my upcoming book, You Are a Strategist, Using No-BS Objectives and
Speaker:Key Results to get big things done.
Speaker:You can join the book pre- launch list at youareastrategist.
Speaker:com.
Speaker:Now this book is a love letter to all of my listeners, but I would be
Speaker:so excited if this becomes the book that Gen Z learns about OKRs from.
Speaker:Because I can't wait to see what you do with Objectives and Key Results.
Speaker:Thank you for tuning into this Thinkydoer Short today.
Speaker:Remember, progress beats perfection every time, and let's practice
Speaker:building in public together.
Speaker:If you found value in today's episode, Share it with a fellow Thinkydoer.
Speaker:We love your reviews.
Speaker:And for more resources and insights, visit saralobkovich.com.
Speaker:Or if that's too hard to spell, there's a shortcut at findrc.co.
Speaker:We'll have our next full length episode out in just a couple
Speaker:days, continuing on the theme of mental health for Thinkydoers.
Speaker:So until next time, stay curious and stay focused on what might
Speaker:be incredible to achieve.